Pages

Thursday, 28 February 2019

A Cognitive Toolkit for the Rationalist. 4/6: Be Humble, B**ch


Chapter 9: The fine-tuned Universe

A universe not made for us
In J D Salinger’s 1951 novel The Catcher In The Rye, 16-year old Holden Caulfield asks a New York cab driver “what happens to the fish when the lake freezes up?”. Cabbie doesn’t know the answer of course, so he says “If you was a fish, Mother Nature’d take care of you, wouldn’t she?”.
Actually, the entire lake doesn’t freeze. The top freezes, leaving enough water (and oxygen) below for fish to survive the winter. Remember that fish are “cold-blooded”they dont have to maintain a body temperature different from their surroundings. This is one of the arguments in favour of a “fine-tuned” universea world where conditions are just right for the emergence of not just life but intelligent life (us) and which could not be merely by chance.
What is wrong with this argument?
The argument starts from a moral value (all life is precious and worth preserving) and uses it to explain an observed fact (fish are able to survive the winter despite the freezing of the lake). Most explanations of “how things work” that begin with a moral judgment of “how things should be” end up providing a wrong explanation. A materialist explanation for the same fact might go somewhat like thisthe very fact that we find fish in a lake implies that the lake could not completely freeze over. A lake that freezes completely, would not have any fish. They would have died in the winter and you would not be seeing them in the summer. So there is no need to assume that someone is looking out for the fish… and for us by extension.
The fine-tuned Universe does actually find an echo in science, namely the weak anthropic principle. There is no doubt that a number of fairly strict conditions must prevail for our kind of (carbon-based) life to exist; e.g. appropriate distance from the Sun, approximately circular orbit, large neighbour planet (Jupiter) acting as a “shield” and so on. But given a billion billion stars (with planets) it doesn’t seem too much to assume this unlikely combination of favourable factors on at least one planet (ours). And given that we are here, conditions had to be just right. Which is different from saying that conditions were made just right so that we (humans) could end up herethis being the strong anthropic principle.
Here’s a hypothetical conversation with an eight-year old -
Q: What are cows for?
A: To give us milk
Q: What are trees for?
A: To give us fruit to eat (or wood to make houses out of)
Q: What are rivers for?
A: To give us water (or to run boats on)
Now coming back to the question “what is the purpose of our existence?” let’s ask instead “what is the purpose of a mosquito’s existence?”. From the point of view of the mosquito, we already know the answerthe mosquito is a survival machine whose purpose is to survive and multiply. But when asked from a human perspective the answer doesn’t seem obvious at all. After all, if cows are “for” giving us milk, mosquitoes must be “for” giving us malaria! The confusion arises because of our anthropocentric view of the world. It tries to draw a line on one side of which lies the human species and on the other side, all other species. This seems arrogant considering the claim of common descent of all species that we made in Chapter 6.



The anthropocentric view may be a relatively recent one in the evolution of the human species. It may have emerged after our survival as a species became, or seemed to become, more or less guaranteed, barring self-destruction. For most of human history (about one million years), the survival of the human species was far from certainseveral hominin (human-like) species became extinct before we Homo Sapiens became a dominant species on the planet. But as humans who were born recently (last 50,000 years), we may have found our environment to be (miraculously) tailor-made for our existence. We may have found everything, living and non-living, to show apparent signs of having been deliberately “designed” and “created” for our benefit. Here’s another example, this time from a 15th century Indian poet.
Now let’s see if we can do better than our eight-year old friend at “biocentric” thinking (the opposite of anthropocentric)…
Q: Why are fruit round, fleshy and sweet?
Q: Why do we sneeze when we have a cold?
Q: How did dog come to be man’s best friend?
It’s time to dispel yet another misinterpretation of the theory of evolution. Which is that evolution is some kind of progression from “lower” to “higher” life-forms culminating in the human species. It most certainly is not. The tree of life does have a hierarchy based on common descent, with more complex species (dolphins, chimpanzees, homo sapiens) entering the stage later. It could be because more complex “designs” are less likely to evolve or less stable. They would have come into existence after the more obvious ways of making a living (ecological niches) were already “taken” by their simpler ancestors. There is nothing to imply that more complex species were somehow the end goal of the process of evolution.
Incidentally, the subtitle of this chapter refers to a video narrated by Carl Sagan which explores this question from a cosmological angle. It leads us to the same humbling conclusionthe fact that the Universe exists has nothing to do with us. We humans (and life in general) just happen to be a feature of it, albeit a quite special feature. But science has by now dismantled the notion that we are central to the Universe.
We seem to have established that shedding the anthropocentric position is necessary in order to “think straight” within a Neo-Darwinist framework. But how did we come to have an anthropocentric worldview?

Chapter 10: The Intentional Stance


Don’t go looking for your Purpose in the Stars
There is no doubt that certain things do have a predefined purpose. These things are all human-made objects. A car, phone and computer each have a purpose which is the use for which it was designed and created by a human. But all life-forms are evolved, not designed. They are the result of the blind, purposeless process of evolution by natural selection. The conclusion is thisthe question of purpose (what is it for) is meaningful only for human-made artefacts and meaningless in the context of Nature.
Dawkins, in his lecture series The purpose of purpose, introduces the notion of archaeo-purpose vs neo-purpose. The latter refers to adaptations (like the ability to set “goals”) that originally evolved to further the cause of our survival but which seem to have been subverted later. For example, an affinity for sugar and fat would have been important for our survival at a time when calories, both ready and stored, were precious. But because evolution happens over geological time, our genes cannot adapt immediately to the surplus availability of calories. The result? Coke and McDonald’s.
Let’s revisit the question we asked in Chapter 8 but deferred answering. If our purpose as survival machines is “merely” to survive and multiply, then why do we feel as if we have some other, “higher” purpose? It could be that for an individual whose survival is almost guaranteed (again, a fairly recent circumstance), certain sub-goals branching out from the end goal of survival-reproduction have been subverted and now appear to be end goals. How else would you persuade a suicide bomber to blow themselves up? A similar line of reasoning can help explain in evolutionary biological terms, pursuits like music (which birds also engage in) and sports (which dogs sort of engage in). For a more general (and more advanced) discussion on why there is a gap between how the world feels versus how the world is, see here and here.
The ability to spot patterns in data (visual or otherwise) has proved a powerful adaptation contributing a great deal to our success as a species. For example, our brains are hardwired to recognize faces. Even a crude :-) is instantly interpreted as a smiling face. But are we also similarly hardwired to find Reasons and Purposes everywhere, even when none exist? It may be something we have evolved, and Dan Dennett calls it the Intentional Stanceattributing rationality, beliefs, desires and intentions (in short attributing minds) to agents (other humans, animals, machines, ourselves) to explain their behaviour.
Andy Thomson calls this Hyperactive Agency Detection. Even babies and animals are able to perceive self-propelled movement differently from dependent movement, which demonstrates an instinctive ability to detect agency. It’s easy to see how we came to be programmed with this cognitive bias. Suppose you are walking in the grass and hear a rustling sound. Now, it could be a snake or it could just be the wind. If you mistake the wind for a snake you just laugh and keep walking (“false positive”). But mistaking a snake for the wind could prove fatal (“false negative”). Minimizing false negatives in this case is a “safe” strategy which is coded into our instincts via natural selection. But taking an intentional stance with respect to natural events produces superstition (and absurd notions like the ones we encountered in Chapters 1 and 2) by attributing agency to non-agents.
It can also lead to embarrassment. At a time when lightning was attributed to the wrath of God, it was observed that in any town, the church was more likely to be hit by lightning than any other structure (including the brothel, gambling house and tavern…). Eventually science came to the rescue when Benjamin Franklin invented the lightning rod in 1749.
Stepping outside the Darwinian world for a moment, here’s another idea that runs contrary to our everyday experienceNewtons law of inertia states that a body in uniform motion will continue to be in uniform motion. It replaced Aristotle’s wrong notion that the “natural state” of any body is to be at rest (never mind with respect to what) and that a force must be constantly applied to keep it in motion. Newton’s laws of motion are today taken for granted, no questions asked. But this change in thinking has a deeper significance, which is thisevery change need not have a cause or driving force.
Sean Carroll states this as followswhile the principle of cause and effect is a useful way of thinking about things at a macro level (our everyday experience), physicists dont need to assume causes and effects to explain things at a fundamental (i.e. particle) level. In other words, causality is an emergent macroscopic phenomenon. It is related to the notion of entropy and the arrow of time which we will not go over in detail here. In fact, the 18th century philosopher David Hume developed purely logical arguments against causality without reference to particle physics (which wasn’t around at the time).
Our minds, aided by language, also have another abilitydisplaced reference. This allows us to refer to an object or person that is not present, in the third person. It could even be a dead person or a non-existent “person” (say Spiderman). Andy Thomson calls this Decoupled Cognitionthe ability to imagine minds that are separate from bodies. This is useful for us to imagine situations that involve other people, to predict what might happen and to formulate a strategy. It seems to be a uniquely human trait. We are so used to this trick that you may even be thinking “what’s wrong with that?”. Well, minds cannot exist separate from bodies. Minds separate from bodies have many namesghosts, spirits, soul etc. But just because we have the ability to imagine them doesn’t mean they are real (recall Mind Projection Fallacy from Chapter 2).
What about artificial intelligence (AI)? Can they not be considered minds separate from bodies? This question will be addressed in Chapter 13.

Written by Ambar Nag.
ambarnag@gmail.com

(Continued in Part 5)

No comments:

Post a Comment