'As the most
important phenomenon in the universe, intelligence is capable of transcending
natural limitations, and of transforming the world in its own image. In human
hands, our intelligence has enabled us to overcome the restrictions of our
biological heritage and to change ourselves in the process. We are the only
species that does this' (Kurzweil 2012).
Ray Kurzweil is an inventor and futurologist (among other
things) who has not only been making predictions about the future of artificial intelligence
and other things, but has also been instrumental in making many of his
predictions come true. This 'ultimate thinking machine' has been the principal
inventor of:
- the first CCD flat-bed scanner;
- the first omni-font optical character recognizer;
- the first print-to-speech reading machine for the blind;
- the first text-to-speech synthesizer;
- the first music synthesizer capable of re-creating the grand piano and other orchestral instruments; and
- the first commercially marketed large-vocabulary speech recognizer.
In his latest
book 'How to Create a Mind' (2012) he
describes our current understanding of how the brain functions and how the mind
emerges from the functioning of the brain. I believe that we can now say that
we are finally on the right path when it comes to getting the hang of what
intelligence is all about. The latest model of the functioning of the brain,
presented by Kurzweil, is so successful that I have no doubt that we can
reverse-engineer the brain and create a truly worthy artificial analogue of it.
I shall
describe Kurzweil's model after doing some groundwork in this and the next few
posts, but here is the gist of what the model says:
Modern neuroscience has proved that the neocortex
operates according to a relatively straightforward pattern-recognition
scheme. This scheme is hierarchical in nature, such that lower-level
patterns representing discrete bits of input combine to trigger higher-level
patterns that represent more general categories. The hierarchical structure is
innate, but the specific categories and meta-categories are filled in by way of
learning. Also, the direction of information travel is not only from the bottom
up, but also from the top down, such that the activation of higher-order
patterns can trigger lower-order ones, and there is feedback between the
various levels.
This model or theory is called the Pattern Recognition
Theory of the Mind (PRTM).
1. A long
tiresome speech delivered by a frothy pie topping.
2. A garment
worn by a child, perhaps abroad an operatic ship.
3. Wanted for
a twelve-year crime spree of eating King Hrothgar's warriors; officer Beowulf
has been assigned the case.
4. It can mean
to develop gradually in the mind or to carry during pregnancy.
5. National
Teacher Day and Kentucky Derby Day.
6. Wordsworth
said they soar but never roam.
7. Four-letter
word for the iron fitting on the hoof of a horse or a card-dealing box in a
casino.
8. In act
three of an 1846 Verdi opera, this Scourge of God is stabbed to death by his
lover, Odabella.
Each of these
is the answer to a specific question. For example, (8) is the answer to the
question 'What is Atilla the Hun?'. These and other such questions were asked
by the anchor in the popular TV show Jeopardy!
In this game the contestant who answers a
question correctly before any other contestant can wins that round. The
questions are spoken out in English by the anchor and heard by each contestant.
Now the
pleasant shocker. In 2011 the IBM computer named Watson competed against the two best human players in
the world (Ken Jennings and Brad Rutter),
and won!
The questions
for the above eight answers are:
1. meringue
harangue;
2. pinafore;
3. Grendel;
4. gestate;
5. May;
6. skylark;
7. shoe;
8. what is
Atilla the Hun?
For the 8th
query Watson replied 'What is Atilla?'. The host responded
by saying, 'Be more specific'. Watson said (correctly): 'What is Atilla the
Hun?'.
As Kurzweil writes, 'It should be noted that not only did
Watson read and "understand" the subtle language in the Jeopardy!
query (which includes such phenomena as puns and metaphors), but it obtained the
knowledge it needed to come up with a response from understanding hundreds of
millions of pages of natural-language documents including Wikipedia and other
encyclopedias on its own. It needed to master virtually every area of human
intellectual endeavor, including history, science, literature, the arts,
culture, and more'. The technique used by such machines is the so-called 'hierarchical hidden Markov model' (HHMM). Kurzweil was among the people who developed
this technology in the 1980s and 1990s.
How has such
performance become possible? It is because now we have the PRTM, which describes correctly the basic algorithm of the
neocortex. What makes me very optimistic about the future of research in
artificial intelligence (AI) is the fact that the work on the PRTM and the work
on the further development of projects like Watson are going on hand in hand. Insights
obtained in one get tested by direct application on the other. Things look
very very impressive to indeed.
How come we
humans are so intelligent as to be able to understand the secrets of our own
intelligence, and are even able to put that knowledge into machines that may
soon overtake (and also enhance) our own intelligence? A look at the history of
intelligence is in order here.
The first episode
in the story of intelligence in our universe occurred when our universe got
created, with its given set of fundamental constants of Nature. As I explained
in Part 19 and Part 20, the
essentially tautological anthropic principle is the reason why the fundamental
constants are what they are, namely just right for the emergence and existence
of atoms, molecules, and life forms including ourselves (with a neocortex
capable of hosting intelligence). The nature of our universe is such that it is
capable of encoding information. Moreover, since it has been expanding ever
since the Big Bang, there is a perennial creation of gradients which, in turn,
lead to the evolution of complexity because of the second law of thermodynamics
for open systems (cf. Part 6).
So the lesson
from the first part of the story of intelligence is that our universe is based
on information, and the information evolves with time (cf. Part 40).
I have already
recounted a whole succession of episodes in the story of intelligence:
How atoms emerged
was described in Part 18.
The step from
atoms to molecules was discussed in Part 41. Of
particular importance in this context has been the availability of the carbon
atom, which has a valence of 4, and forms an immense variety of
information-rich molecules.
As discussed
in Part 45, chemical
adaptation and chemical evolution occurred over the millennia, resulting in the
emergence of the DNA molecule in due course (cf. Part 54). This
molecule encoded information which could be passed on to succeeding generations
in a precise manner. What is more, the coded information acted like an
algorithm for the growth and development of the progeny (translation from
genotype to phenotype).
As Kurzweil
(2012) narrates, in due course the organisms evolved communication and decision
networks called nervous systems, which facilitated survival in the increasingly
complex environment. The neurons aggregated into brains capable of intelligent
behaviour.
The next development
was uniquely human. Our brains are capable of hierarchical thinking. I
quote Kurzweil (2012): 'We are capable of hierarchical thinking, of
understanding a structure composed of diverse elements arranged in a pattern,
representing that arrangement with a symbol, and then using that symbol as an
element in a yet more elaborate configuration. . . . we are able to call these
patterns ideas. Through an unending recursive process we are capable of building
ideas that are ever more complex. We call this vast array of recursively linked
ideas knowledge'.
There is
another thing unique to humans: An opposable thumb, which
enables us to build sophisticated tools. We have used our intelligence and our
ability to build tools to develop technology. This has enabled our
knowledge base to grow without limits. One of our creations, namely computers,
now hold the promise of creating artificial intelligence which will excel our
own. I gave glimpses of this prospect in Part 90 ('The Future of Intelligence').
It appears
that ours is the only species in our universe which possesses intelligence of an
order high enough to make us aware of the grandeur of the universe. We are not
just 'star stuff'; we are unique. We should lead lives worthy of our stature in the cosmos.
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